<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

Kelly Shoppach
Cleveland Indians [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 28
6'
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 PAW 3A 432 60 16 0 26 75 46 116 0 0 -0.3 .253 .352 .507 .120 .231 .322 .454 .264 14.0 83-C 7 4.2
2005 BOS MJ 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0.0 .000 .063 .000 -1.166 .067 .125 .067 .000 -3.7 0.0
2006 BUF 3A 87 11 8 0 4 9 6 25 0 1 -0.9 .282 .356 .538 .235 .253 .322 .506 .272 5.1 21-C 2 1.2
2006 CLE MJ 120 7 6 0 3 16 8 45 0 0 -1.7 .245 .297 .382 -.170 .248 .305 .404 .244 -0.6 32-C 4 1.3
2007 CLE MJ 177 26 13 0 7 30 11 56 0 0 0.0 .261 .310 .472 .030 .262 .316 .488 .270 8.3 47-C 3 2.1


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 7:14 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 324 45 17 1 16 46 30 94 1 1 -0.7 .270 .348 .504 .118 .267 .347 .522 .295 21.8 78-C 2 4.0
75o 304 36 15 1 13 41 27 90 1 1 -0.6 .249 .325 .455 .001 .246 .324 .472 .274 11.9 74-C 2 3.1
60o 293 32 14 1 12 38 25 88 1 1 -0.6 .238 .313 .430 -.060 .236 .312 .446 .263 7.1 71-C 2 2.6
50o 285 29 13 1 11 36 24 86 1 1 -0.6 .230 .305 .413 -.101 .228 .304 .428 .255 4.2 70-C 1 2.3
40o 272 25 12 0 9 33 23 84 1 0 -0.5 .218 .291 .385 -.168 .216 .291 .399 .242 -0.4 67-C 1 1.9
25o 257 21 11 0 8 29 21 81 1 0 -0.5 .206 .277 .356 -.238 .204 .276 .369 .227 -4.7 63-C 1 1.4
10o 196 10 7 0 3 17 14 66 1 0 -0.3 .163 .228 .257 -.473 .162 .227 .267 .165 -14.7 50-C 1 0.1
Weighted Mean 281 28 13 1 10 36 24 85 1 1 -0.5 .230 .305 .413 -.102 .228 .304 .427 .254 4.5 69-C 2 3.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

21%

42%

34%

38%

1.14

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 28) 281 28 13 1 10 36 24 85 1 1 -0.5 .230 .305 .413 -.102 .228 .304 .427 .254 4.5 69-C 2 3.0
2009 (age 29) 269 28 11 0 11 37 23 79 1 1 -0.5 .233 .307 .426 -.078 .234 .311 .450 .259 5.1 66-C 2 2.3
2010 (age 30) 244 24 11 0 9 33 20 74 1 0 -0.5 .236 .307 .417 -.089 .237 .311 .441 .256 3.7 60-C 3 2.1
2011 (age 31) 224 19 10 0 7 27 19 67 1 0 -0.3 .225 .300 .388 -.146 .227 .303 .409 .246 0.6 56-C 1 1.3
2012 (age 32) 195 17 8 0 7 25 16 57 1 0 -0.3 .224 .296 .404 -.132 .226 .299 .427 .248 0.9 49-C 0 1.1
2013 (age 33) 204 18 9 0 7 26 19 61 0 0 -0.2 .225 .308 .396 -.121 .226 .312 .418 .251 0.9 51-C 0 0.8
2014 (age 34) 192 17 7 0 8 24 19 57 0 0 -0.2 .222 .308 .406 -.111 .223 .312 .429 .254 0.9 49-C -1 0.7

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .245 .322 .438
vs RHP .226 .297 .396
Split +.019 +.024 +.042
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.7 2.3 3.0 $4,975,000 7.6 9.9
2009 0.8 1.5 2.3 $4,175,000 7.5 12.6
2010 0.6 1.5 2.1 $3,925,000 7.2 10.1
2011 0.3 1.0 1.3 $2,050,000 2.1 4.2
2012 0.3 0.8 1.1 $1,800,000 1.8 4.2
2013 0.2 0.6 0.8 $1,425,000 1.4 3.7
2014 0.2 0.5 0.7 $1,225,000 0.9 2.0
Peak 10.6 $14,100,000 27.6 44.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .274 .255 .227 .254
2009 .269 .249 .215 .259
2010 .270 .242 .221 .256
2011 .256 .239 .195 .246
2012 .261 .245 .219 .248
2013 .264 .230 .209 .251
2014 .270 .245 .227 .254


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 38% 0% 21%
2009 41% 6% 19%
2010 55% 17% 15%
2011 62% 26% 10%
2012 73% 38% 8%
2013 84% 57% 8%
2014 88% 65% 7%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

At this point, Shoppach is officially on the backup catcher career path. He`s a pretty good defender, has decent power, doesn`t hit for average, and strikes out a lot. He`ll get a couple of everyday assignments during his career due to positional scarcity, but in the end he`ll have played thirteen years for eight different teams.

2006

Shoppach is a top-shelf defensive catcher, drawing rave reviews for his game calling. Offensively, he has major league power and takes a lot of walks. He doesn`t really have much more to prove in Triple-A. The flaw in his game, and it`s a big one, is that he averages a strikeout per game, leaving little room for error in his other at-bats. He improved a bit in this area in 2005. With Mirabelli gone, he`s in line to be the No. 2 catcher, but he might have more value to a team that wants to give him a chance to compete for the starting job.

2005

Shoppach's biggest assets have long been his arm and defense, the former having cast some doubt after shoulder surgery in the fall of 2002. Despite some rumors about declines in his defense, Shoppach drew raves for his quick release and arm strength from both the Sox front office and scouts. He had a rough year in terms of batting average and strikeouts, but his walks were back up and he flashed some real power for the first time. He had a little trouble adjusting to the more advanced pitchers in Triple-A, but a solid second half looked to put him in line for Boston some time in 2005—at least until the Sox re-signed both Mirabelli and Varitek. His future now lies either as a backup to Varitek in 2006 or with another organization.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.