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David Ross
Cincinnati Reds [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 31
6' 2"
240 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 IND 3A 23 1 1 0 0 1 3 7 0 0 -0.2 .211 .304 .263 -.296 .211 .304 .263 .216 -1.3 0.1
2005 POR 3A 23 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 0 0 0.0 .143 .217 .190 -.675 .190 .261 .238 .168 -2.3 0.0
2005 PIT MJ 119 9 8 0 3 15 6 24 0 0 -0.3 .222 .263 .380 -.187 .222 .267 .389 .229 -1.1 31-C 5 1.4
2005 SDN MJ 19 2 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0.5 .353 .389 .471 .282 .333 .368 .444 .281 1.9 0.2
2006 CHT 2A 8 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 0.0 .333 .500 .333 .259 .167 .375 .167 .223 -0.5 0.0
2006 CIN MJ 296 37 15 1 21 52 37 75 0 0 -1.3 .255 .353 .579 .215 .246 .346 .560 .299 22.6 70-C 5 4.5
2007 LOU 3A 11 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -0.1 .222 .364 .333 -.040 .222 .364 .333 .256 0.0 0.1
2007 CIN MJ 348 32 10 0 17 39 30 92 0 0 -1.3 .203 .271 .399 -.198 .196 .270 .395 .228 -3.0 94-C 11 3.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:37 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 263 38 12 1 15 37 29 62 1 0 -0.8 .266 .349 .528 .126 .262 .345 .520 .287 16.9 65-C -1 3.1
75o 242 30 11 0 12 33 24 58 1 0 -0.7 .244 .323 .473 -.009 .241 .319 .465 .264 8.1 60-C 1 2.3
60o 232 26 11 0 11 32 22 56 1 0 -0.6 .235 .311 .449 -.067 .232 .308 .442 .253 4.7 58-C 1 2.0
50o 230 25 10 0 10 31 21 55 1 0 -0.6 .233 .308 .444 -.081 .230 .305 .437 .251 4.0 57-C 1 2.0
40o 221 23 10 0 9 30 20 54 1 0 -0.6 .226 .299 .424 -.128 .223 .295 .418 .241 1.4 55-C 1 1.7
25o 202 17 9 0 7 27 17 50 1 0 -0.5 .210 .278 .382 -.231 .207 .274 .376 .220 -3.5 51-C 2 1.3
10o 131 6 5 0 2 16 8 34 0 0 -0.3 .165 .216 .266 -.522 .163 .214 .262 .142 -11.0 35-C 4 0.3
Weighted Mean 214 23 10 0 10 29 20 51 1 0 -0.6 .234 .310 .447 -.073 .231 .306 .440 .250 5.9 54-C 1 2.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

17%

40%

28%

43%

1.08

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 31) 214 23 10 0 10 29 20 51 1 0 -0.6 .234 .310 .447 -.073 .231 .306 .440 .250 5.9 54-C 1 2.3
2009 (age 32) 172 18 8 0 8 25 17 41 1 0 -0.4 .233 .313 .450 -.065 .226 .304 .435 .252 3.4 44-C 1 1.4
2010 (age 33) 187 20 9 0 9 27 19 44 1 0 -0.4 .241 .323 .461 -.028 .234 .314 .445 .259 3.8 48-C 1 1.2
2011 (age 34) 166 18 7 0 9 24 16 39 0 0 -0.3 .238 .317 .474 -.024 .231 .308 .457 .260 3.1 43-C 0 1.0
2012 (age 35) 172 17 7 0 8 26 17 43 0 0 -0.2 .233 .313 .444 -.073 .226 .305 .428 .251 1.6 44-C -1 0.7
2013 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .250 .329 .472
vs RHP .230 .302 .428
Split +.020 +.027 +.044
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.5 1.9 2.3 $3,700,000 6.3 6.0
2009 0.4 1.0 1.4 $2,225,000 3.7 6.3
2010 0.4 0.8 1.2 $2,100,000 3.8 6.0
2011 0.3 0.6 1.0 $1,700,000 2.7 4.5
2012 0.2 0.5 0.7 $1,075,000 0.9 2.6
2013 0.1 0.3 0.3 $625,000 -0.6 0.6
2014 0.1 0.3 0.4 $925,000 0.8 1.5
Peak 7.0 $8,125,000 16.8 26.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .264 .251 .220 .250
2009 .277 .255 .234 .252
2010 .282 .250 .216 .259
2011 .290 .257 .228 .260
2012 .282 .245 .212 .251
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 43% 0% 17%
2009 65% 23% 19%
2010 60% 35% 17%
2011 75% 46% 19%
2012 82% 59% 14%
2013 88% 68% 10%
2014 93% 79% 7%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Although Ross` season might seem ridiculously out of character, he did hit .258/.336/.556 backing up Paul Lo Duca for the Dodgers in 2003. Ross also played more in 2006 than in any season since he was in Triple-A Las Vegas in 2002, and he hasn`t been an everyday player since 1999, in High-A Vero Beach. Which is all to say that Ross has had a pretty unusual career path already, and it isn`t inconceivable that, after being constantly overlooked, he could be the new Tim Laudner. He`s a good backstop and deters the running game, he`ll take a walk if played regularly, and he can bust a cookie to crumbs when a pitcher makes a mistake. Sharing the job with Valentin, he`ll give the Reds a cheap and effective catching set-up at a time when teams are throwing millions of dollars at Rod Barajas.

2005

Ouchie. There's no way to polish that season. Ross was awful; there was no part of his game that was a positive for the Dodgers. Even in Chavez Ravine, you have to hit more than .170, and striking out in over a third of your at bats isn't good, either. Ross will have to step it up to guarantee himself a roster spot that comes with major league meal money. He's got enough pop to do it, and can be useful if he can ever top .240.

2003

Lo Duca, the next generation? Ross has progressed nicely through the minors, getting better at each level. He’s driving the ball more consistently since learning to keep his weight back longer and after bulking up. His pitch selection is far from perfect, but it’s improving. He won’t embarrass himself defensively either. After declining the option on Chad Kreuter, the Dodgers could have penciled Ross in for the backup catcher’s job had they not picked up two years of Todd Hundley. Tough break for Ross, who’s a sleeper waiting for an opportunity.

2002

Ross has some skills. His defense is considered solid, he can hit for some power, and he will draw some walks. Catcher isn't exactly where this organization needs help. Ross has a shot at a pretty good major-league career, be it in L.A. or somewhere else. If he can bump up his production 10% or so, he has a shot to be Robert Fick off the bench for some team for a long time.


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