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Eric Munson
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 30
6' 3"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 DUR 3A 425 67 22 0 25 71 38 81 1 1 -3.1 .285 .351 .539 .177 .255 .321 .482 .269 10.5 90-1B -10 1.4
2005 TBA MJ 24 2 1 0 0 2 4 3 0 0 -0.9 .167 .333 .222 -.293 .167 .333 .222 .225 -1.0 0.0
2006 ROU 3A 37 6 1 0 2 8 3 4 0 0 0.2 .250 .351 .469 .126 .273 .351 .485 .284 2.0 0.2
2006 HOU MJ 156 10 6 0 5 19 11 32 0 0 -1.6 .199 .269 .348 -.272 .199 .269 .355 .216 -5.9 31-C -1 0.4
2007 ROU 3A 201 28 18 0 7 26 24 34 1 1 0.1 .283 .368 .509 .198 .257 .342 .469 .276 11.2 32-C 0 1.6
2007 HOU MJ 150 14 4 0 4 15 16 15 0 0 0.7 .235 .313 .356 -.147 .237 .320 .374 .246 0.4 34-C -5 0.7


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 2:29 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 349 49 18 1 16 53 37 62 2 1 -1.0 .278 .359 .495 .109 .278 .357 .498 .287 21.0 84-C -12 3.0
75o 337 45 17 0 14 49 36 61 2 1 -1.0 .270 .351 .477 .065 .270 .348 .480 .279 16.8 81-C -11 2.6
60o 314 37 15 0 12 43 32 58 2 1 -0.9 .256 .336 .446 -.013 .256 .334 .449 .265 9.9 76-C -11 1.9
50o 306 35 14 0 11 41 31 56 1 1 -0.8 .251 .331 .435 -.040 .251 .328 .438 .260 7.8 74-C -10 1.7
40o 282 28 13 0 9 35 28 53 1 1 -0.7 .236 .316 .403 -.119 .236 .313 .406 .246 2.0 69-C -10 1.2
25o 271 25 12 0 9 32 27 51 1 1 -0.7 .230 .309 .389 -.154 .230 .306 .391 .239 -0.3 66-C -9 0.9
10o 237 18 10 0 6 25 22 46 1 0 -0.6 .212 .289 .348 -.253 .212 .287 .351 .218 -5.7 59-C -9 0.4
Weighted Mean 306 35 14 0 11 41 31 56 1 1 -0.8 .251 .331 .435 -.040 .251 .329 .438 .259 9.9 74-C -10 1.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

27%

52%

24%

21%

0.84

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 30) 306 35 14 0 11 41 31 56 1 1 -0.8 .251 .331 .435 -.040 .251 .329 .438 .259 9.9 74-C -10 1.8
2009 (age 31) 301 33 14 1 11 39 31 55 1 1 -0.6 .250 .332 .427 -.049 .246 .324 .422 .258 5.3 73-C -11 1.2
2010 (age 32) 273 30 12 1 11 37 30 50 1 1 -0.6 .250 .336 .441 -.024 .246 .328 .436 .263 5.8 67-C -10 1.1
2011 (age 33) 239 23 10 0 8 29 27 44 1 1 -0.5 .238 .326 .401 -.101 .234 .319 .396 .249 1.8 59-C -9 0.7
2012 (age 34) 229 22 9 0 8 32 25 43 1 1 -0.4 .241 .324 .416 -.083 .237 .317 .411 .252 1.9 57-C -8 0.6
2013 (age 35) 244 22 9 0 7 29 25 44 1 0 -0.2 .233 .318 .376 -.152 .229 .310 .372 .238 0.0 60-C -12 0.2
2014 (age 36) 131 10 6 0 5 17 13 21 1 0 -0.1 .249 .325 .418 -.073 .245 .318 .413 .252 0.8 35-C -7 0.2

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .230 .307 .404
vs RHP .258 .343 .461
Split -.028 -.036 -.057
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.9 0.9 1.8 $2,250,000 1.7 5.3
2009 0.7 0.6 1.2 $1,400,000 -1.2 2.6
2010 0.7 0.4 1.1 $1,350,000 -0.4 2.8
2011 0.3 0.4 0.7 $900,000 -3.1 0.7
2012 0.3 0.3 0.6 $875,000 -1.5 0.9
2013 0.1 0.1 0.2 $500,000 -3.4 0.2
2014 0.1 0.1 0.2 $575,000 -1.2 0.1
Peak 5.7 $4,375,000 0.0 12.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .279 .260 .239 .259
2009 .280 .254 .233 .258
2010 .289 .261 .234 .263
2011 .269 .250 .225 .249
2012 .268 .252 .226 .252
2013 .266 .240 .221 .238
2014 .276 .253 .133 .252


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 21% 0% 27%
2009 42% 20% 18%
2010 51% 25% 21%
2011 57% 30% 11%
2012 66% 48% 8%
2013 77% 64% 4%
2014 92% 76% 4%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

There was a good instinct behind the Astros` decision to move Munson back to catcher, the position he played in college. Munson`s not a great hitter, and his bat can`t carry first or third base, but as a reserve catcher who bats lefty with home run power, he makes a nifty asset off the bench. The results weren`t great, but it was definitely an experiment worth trying, and perhaps one that should be repeated in other organizations with their own suboptimal first and third basemen, in the same way that teams now habitually give poor hitters with good arms a chance to show that they can throw fastballs.

2005

Munson got off to an awful start at the plate, hitting .222 in April and .196 in May and striking out in about a quarter of his plate appearances, and quickly found that he had lost his everyday job to Brandon Inge. As ugly as those numbers are to look at, they're even harder to watch every day, so it wasn't surprising that he fell out of favor with the Tigers, who non-tendered him after the season. Obscured were the improvement to his defense at third base, which was never as bad as advertised to begin with, and the continued growth in his isolated power, which shot up 35 points on the year. Munson is perceived as a tweener, lacking the glove to be an everyday third baseman or the bat to be a regular at first. But as a cheap waiver-wire find, he represents almost pure upside.

2003

Munson had a good but not great year in 2002, bookended by a slow April in Toledo and a miserable September in Motown. In between, he managed to restore his tattered reputation as a power prospect. The problem is that he has no position other than first base, and he isn’t likely to push Carlos Pena out of a job. Like many young hitters with big power, he can hit almost any fastball, but he’s pull-happy and has trouble with breaking pitches. The departure of Robert Fick bodes well for him, as it cleared up a potential logjam at DH. The Tigers need to give Munson 1,000 at-bats in the next two years to see if he can mature into the hitter they projected him to be when they drafted him with the #3 pick in 1999.

2002

How you perceive Munson depends on your expectations. If you expect Munson to live up to his past—the #3 overall pick in 1999, with the potential to become one of the best-hitting catchers in the game—then he’s an abject disappointment. If you base your expectations on what he has become—a marginal defensive first baseman with a low batting average and good secondary skills—his upside might just surprise you. He projects as a poor man’s Tony Clark, which fits, because the Tigers want him to replace Clark on a poor man’s salary.

2001

This isn’t what Randy Smith envisioned when he took Eric Munson with the third pick of the 1999 draft. Though the ex-Trojan has buffed up his body, his numbers still sag like an auto worker’s midsection. Unless Munson has a breakout season, Smith may have to find a makeshift solution at first base in 2002, since he had planned on Munson being ready to inherit Tony Clark’s job. In my opinion, the organization was too hasty in stripping Munson of the tools of ignorance; catcher is the only position he can handle at which he projects to be much of an asset offensively.

2000

He certainly looks like he has a major-league bat, although his debut was not nearly as impressive as that of, say, Pat Burrell, the first collegian taken in 1998. But will he catch? He was used almost exclusively as a first baseman and DH in his debut, although Tiger officials blamed that on a nagging shoulder problem. If Munson is kept at first base, he’s going to be no more than a modest improvement over the likes of Tony Clark. As a catcher, he has a chance to be the new Darren Daulton, the best-hitting catcher in the league.


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