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Bengie Molina
San Francisco Giants [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 33
5' 11"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 ANA MJ 449 45 17 0 15 69 27 41 0 2 -4.4 .295 .336 .446 .076 .303 .351 .471 .281 24.1 97-C -2 4.0
2006 TOR MJ 458 44 20 1 19 57 19 47 1 1 -3.7 .284 .319 .467 .008 .280 .322 .471 .268 15.5 96-C -7 3.0
2007 SFN MJ 517 38 19 1 19 81 15 53 0 0 -3.5 .276 .298 .433 -.042 .277 .304 .440 .253 14.4 123-C 5 4.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 2:12 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 455 56 23 1 17 69 23 45 3 1 -2.2 .306 .345 .484 .097 .303 .345 .500 .283 30.9 108-C -5 4.6
75o 424 46 20 1 14 61 21 43 3 1 -1.9 .291 .330 .455 .019 .289 .330 .470 .269 20.9 101-C -5 3.6
60o 406 41 19 1 13 57 19 41 3 1 -1.8 .283 .321 .438 -.026 .281 .322 .452 .261 15.7 97-C -5 3.1
50o 378 34 17 1 11 51 18 39 2 1 -1.6 .271 .309 .413 -.092 .269 .309 .426 .249 8.7 91-C -5 2.4
40o 371 32 16 1 10 49 17 38 2 1 -1.6 .268 .306 .407 -.108 .266 .306 .420 .246 7.1 89-C -5 2.3
25o 323 22 13 1 7 40 14 34 1 1 -1.3 .249 .285 .366 -.214 .247 .286 .378 .224 -1.9 78-C -5 1.3
10o 286 17 11 0 5 33 12 31 1 1 -1.1 .235 .271 .338 -.288 .234 .271 .349 .208 -6.7 70-C -4 0.7
Weighted Mean 407 39 18 1 12 56 19 42 2 1 -1.6 .277 .315 .425 -.060 .275 .315 .439 .254 14.5 97-C -5 2.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

6%

32%

37%

26%

0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 33) 407 39 18 1 12 56 19 42 2 1 -1.6 .277 .315 .425 -.060 .275 .315 .439 .254 14.5 97-C -5 2.9
2009 (age 34) 340 28 15 0 9 45 17 36 2 1 -1.3 .269 .308 .400 -.111 .263 .304 .407 .244 5.6 82-C -2 2.0
2010 (age 35) 244 16 11 0 6 31 12 26 2 1 -0.9 .264 .300 .392 -.142 .258 .296 .397 .238 2.4 60-C -3 1.1
2011 (age 36) 231 16 10 0 6 29 12 23 2 1 -0.6 .269 .310 .400 -.109 .263 .306 .406 .245 2.6 57-C -4 0.8
2012 (age 37) 277 19 12 0 7 37 13 29 2 1 -0.5 .260 .297 .386 -.157 .255 .293 .392 .235 0.8 68-C -5 0.6
2013 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .292 .336 .456
vs RHP .272 .306 .404
Split +.020 +.030 +.051
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.0 1.9 2.9 $4,800,000 8.0 11.8
2009 0.5 1.5 2.0 $2,850,000 2.4 5.9
2010 0.2 0.9 1.1 $1,350,000 -1.4 1.9
2011 0.2 0.6 0.8 $1,025,000 0.0 1.4
2012 0.1 0.5 0.6 $850,000 -0.5 1.8
2013 0.0 0.3 0.3 $550,000 -1.5 0.3
2014 0.0 0.3 0.3 $625,000 -0.2 0.2
Peak 7.7 $8,425,000 6.9 23.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .269 .249 .224 .254
2009 .264 .243 .224 .244
2010 .262 .242 .216 .238
2011 .265 .243 .229 .245
2012 .264 .235 .216 .235
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 26% 0% 6%
2009 39% 7% 9%
2010 62% 22% 3%
2011 78% 51% 1%
2012 79% 61% 2%
2013 90% 74% 2%
2014 93% 85% 1%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Molina broke up the family when he departed from Anaheim a year ago, but now that he`s off on his solo career, he`s singing a different tune than his brothers. While Molina hit more home runs last season than Jose and Yadier have in their entire respective careers, his defense has gone the other way. Bengie allowed 68 of 83 baserunners to steal successfully last season, something that was not helpful to a pitching staff that gives up more than its share of baserunners. He`ll probably lose some power in San Francisco`s home park next season, but now that he`s turned 32, the Giants probably figured they could afford to gamble.

2005

Thanks to a fractured finger and a strained calf, Molina spent about as long as the voyage of Noah's ark on the shelf (fortunately, the Molinas had come two by two). When ambulatory, he came within a few points of duplicating his career percentages. The difference between this year and last year's moderately productive season can be found in the lefty-mashing department, where the Love of Bengie dropped from a .544 slugging percentage to .398. The Angels would do well to find an Adam Melhuse type; Molina could be considerably more valuable and durable playing four days a week and being spared the toughest righties.

2003

This is not a ballplayer you want to give 450 plate appearances to. On the bright side, it gives the Angels something they don’t have: a problem that’s fairly easy to fix. Molina hits like a defensive substitute, and few teams are good enough to absorb this kind of hit to their offensive production on a daily basis. He doesn’t hit for average, doesn’t hit for power, doesn’t draw walks, and grounds into a ton of double plays. He does work well with the pitchers and he can throw, so they’ll run him out there as long as things are pretty rosy. That’s a mistake.

2002

Another in the parade of Angels hitters with high batting averages and limited secondary skills, Molina regressed in his second year as a starter. He's a reliable defensive catcher who isn't going to get much better with the bat. He’ll be the starter in Anaheim in 2002.

2001

While Ben Molina's translated statistics don't look good, consider that he was about average for his position offensively, played good defense, and is still improving. A left-handed-hitting backup would help, as Molina hit for much less power against righties. The Angels have invited Jorge Fabregas to spring training, hardly a solution.

2000

A few years ago, Molina spent as much time at other positions as behind the plate, due to questions about his defense. He’s turned himself into a fair catcher; he hasn’t hit since Double-A, though, and the last thing the Angels need is another offensive problem in the lineup. The team was very impressed with him in September, particularly his glove. He’ll have at least a share of the catching job.

1999

By paying more than about $400,000 for their catchers this year, the Angels have made a mistake. Hemphill and Molina could step in and be an effective, cheap platoon until Dewey is ready. You'll hear a lot of nonsense about the "veteran presence" a warmed-over out like Matt Walbeck supposedly provides, but when your rotation is older than dirt (Chuck Finley, Ken Hill, expected FA signing), how much presence do you need? Ask Finley, who is notorious for his lack of run support, what he'd rather have: presence or runs. Molina's probably stretched as an everyday catcher; as a platoon partner, he would be a nice surprise.

1998

Molina hasn’t gotten much notice, but is another Angel catching prospect. Started the year hurt, played moderately well at Lake Elsinore, and was called up to Midland to help when good-field, OK-hit Bret Hemphill was injured. Crushed the ball, and was kept around to DH when Hemphill returned. Will eventually reach the majors, and should be a contributor for a few years.


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