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Adam Melhuse
Texas Rangers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 36
6' 2"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 OAK MJ 102 11 7 0 2 12 5 28 0 0 1.1 .247 .284 .381 -.154 .250 .301 .406 .242 0.0 18-C 0 0.5
2006 OAK MJ 139 10 8 0 4 18 9 34 0 1 -1.2 .219 .273 .375 -.246 .220 .281 .386 .227 -4.3 22-C 2 0.7
2007 SAC 3A 8 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0.0 .375 .375 .625 .553 .125 .125 .375 .000 -1.0 0.0
2007 TEX MJ 73 6 3 0 1 7 3 18 0 0 0.4 .206 .250 .294 -.389 .206 .260 .294 .191 -4.0 14-C -3 0.1
2007 OAK MJ 30 2 1 0 0 2 4 8 0 0 -0.1 .231 .333 .269 -.240 .231 .333 .269 .221 -0.5 0.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 1:58 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 75 9 4 0 2 9 6 19 0 0 -0.2 .250 .312 .401 -.091 .247 .312 .411 .253 0.9 23-C -3 0.3
75o 70 7 4 0 1 8 5 19 0 0 -0.2 .232 .290 .361 -.194 .229 .289 .370 .231 -0.9 21-C -3 0.2
60o 65 5 3 0 1 7 4 18 0 0 -0.2 .215 .268 .322 -.292 .213 .268 .331 .208 -2.4 20-C -3 0.0
50o 64 5 3 0 1 7 4 18 0 0 -0.2 .211 .263 .313 -.316 .209 .263 .321 .202 -2.7 20-C -3 0.0
40o 59 4 2 0 1 6 3 17 0 0 -0.1 .198 .245 .283 -.393 .196 .245 .290 .181 -3.6 19-C -3 0.0
25o 25 1 1 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 0.0 .161 .195 .200 -.610 .159 .195 .205 .027 -2.8 11-C -1 0.0
10o 25 1 1 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 0.0 .161 .195 .200 -.610 .159 .195 .205 .027 -2.8 11-C -1 0.0
Weighted Mean 43 3 2 0 1 4 3 12 0 0 -0.1 .206 .257 .302 -.344 .204 .256 .310 .195 -2.1 15-C -1 0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

27%

38%

50%

63%

1.18

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 36) 43 3 2 0 1 4 3 12 0 0 -0.1 .206 .257 .302 -.344 .204 .256 .310 .195 -2.1 15-C -1 0.3
2009 (age 37) 54 4 2 0 1 5 4 14 0 0 -0.1 .207 .265 .303 -.326 .208 .270 .317 .199 -1.1 18-C -3 0.0
2010 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .204 .250 .308
vs RHP .207 .259 .300
Split -.003 -.008 +.008
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 0.4 0.3 $500,000 -2.7 0.2
2009 0.0 0.1 0.0 $400,000 -1.5 0.0
2010 0.0 0.1 0.1 $400,000 -0.6 0.0
2011 0.0 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -0.5 0.0
2012 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 0.0 0.0
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 0.0 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 -0.3 0.0
Peak 0.4 $125,000 0.0 0.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .231 .202 .027 .195
2009 .249 .155 .072 .199
2010
-- out of baseball --
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 63% 0% 27%
2009 85% 62% 14%
2010 93% 68% 15%
2011 99% 80% 8%
2012 100% 90% 3%
2013 100% 95% 3%
2014 100% 95% 1%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Melhuse has only been kicking around the bigs since 2000, so it`s a bit shocking to realize he`ll be 35 when Opening Day rolls around. That`s because he didn`t make it to the Show until he was 28. Because of those 11 homers Melhuse popped as a part-timer in 2004, he gives the frisson of being a bit better than he is. He does have good power for a catcher, but you can`t play five games per week with a sub-.300 OBP unless you`re a defensive wiz--and that`s not Melhuse.

2006

Melhuse has hit the age where he`s no longer likely to qualify as a premium backup catcher. Ordinarily, that would be about as important as buying the name-brand paper towels, but there`s a chance that Jason Kendall`s offense will descend from unpleasant to unplayable this season. We`d be tempted to hedge our bets by adding a Craig Wilson or Matt LeCroy type to the roster. Actually, are there any players of that `type` except for Wilson and LeCroy?

2005

A backup catcher in the old Earl Weaver sense of the word, a guy you insert into the lineup to get some offense, and a good alternative to a catch-and-throw type who isn't hopeless at the plate. No, not Ellie Hendricks or Dave Skaggs; more like Dan Graham or Joe Nolan, as alternatives to Rick Dempsey. A handy bench player, Melhuse is unfortunately older than you might think now that he's here, and with Kendall in town, he won't be getting 257 at-bats.


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