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Gerald Laird
Texas Rangers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 28
6' 1"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 OKL 3A 317 51 12 4 17 55 28 61 12 2 -2.1 .310 .380 .562 .311 .272 .334 .484 .279 18.2 72-C 9 4.2
2005 TEX MJ 42 7 2 0 1 4 2 7 0 0 -0.1 .225 .262 .350 -.263 .231 .286 .359 .222 -0.9 11-C 0 0.2
2006 TEX MJ 260 46 20 1 7 22 12 54 3 1 0.1 .296 .332 .473 .051 .292 .336 .475 .276 12.2 66-C 6 3.3
2007 TEX MJ 448 48 18 3 9 47 30 103 6 2 2.3 .224 .278 .349 -.251 .228 .287 .374 .231 -7.5 112-C 11 3.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 12:55 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 387 55 21 2 13 48 28 84 6 2 0.4 .273 .332 .459 .037 .270 .332 .471 .279 18.2 92-C 3 4.1
75o 374 49 20 2 12 45 27 82 6 2 0.4 .263 .322 .440 -.013 .260 .322 .451 .269 13.1 90-C 3 3.7
60o 355 42 17 2 10 41 25 79 5 2 0.3 .250 .307 .412 -.085 .246 .307 .422 .256 6.3 85-C 3 3.0
50o 342 38 16 2 9 38 23 76 5 2 0.3 .240 .298 .393 -.132 .238 .297 .403 .246 2.2 82-C 3 2.6
40o 333 35 15 2 9 36 22 75 4 2 0.3 .234 .291 .381 -.163 .232 .291 .391 .240 -0.3 80-C 3 2.3
25o 304 27 12 2 7 31 20 70 4 2 0.3 .216 .271 .344 -.258 .213 .271 .353 .219 -7.3 74-C 2 1.5
10o 233 14 8 1 3 20 14 56 2 1 0.2 .179 .230 .270 -.447 .177 .230 .277 .169 -16.2 58-C 1 0.2
Weighted Mean 323 35 15 2 9 36 22 72 5 2 0.3 .242 .300 .397 -.121 .240 .300 .408 .248 3.1 78-C 4 3.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

21%

43%

32%

31%

1.06

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 28) 323 35 15 2 9 36 22 72 5 2 0.3 .242 .300 .397 -.121 .240 .300 .408 .248 3.1 78-C 4 3.4
2009 (age 29) 380 47 19 2 11 45 27 82 6 2 0.3 .253 .311 .419 -.067 .254 .316 .437 .260 7.3 91-C 6 3.3
2010 (age 30) 372 44 18 2 10 43 26 80 5 2 0.3 .247 .305 .400 -.106 .248 .310 .418 .251 3.8 89-C 4 2.6
2011 (age 31) 318 34 16 1 8 36 23 67 4 2 0.2 .241 .300 .393 -.127 .242 .305 .411 .247 1.9 77-C 3 2.1
2012 (age 32) 306 32 15 1 8 34 21 67 4 1 0.2 .244 .302 .395 -.119 .245 .307 .413 .248 2.0 74-C 3 1.8
2013 (age 33) 263 25 11 1 6 28 19 55 3 1 0.1 .238 .299 .375 -.156 .239 .303 .392 .241 0.2 65-C 2 1.2
2014 (age 34) 334 37 15 2 9 39 25 70 4 1 0.1 .243 .305 .390 -.121 .243 .310 .408 .249 1.4 81-C 3 1.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .258 .317 .421
vs RHP .238 .293 .383
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.7 2.8 3.4 $5,875,000 8.6 10.5
2009 1.0 2.3 3.3 $7,025,000 14.7 21.1
2010 0.7 2.0 2.6 $5,250,000 8.9 12.8
2011 0.5 1.6 2.1 $4,150,000 6.2 11.0
2012 0.4 1.4 1.8 $3,700,000 5.4 8.7
2013 0.2 1.0 1.2 $2,300,000 2.4 5.7
2014 0.3 1.0 1.3 $3,050,000 4.2 6.5
Peak 14.5 $22,450,000 46.2 69.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .269 .246 .219 .248
2009 .273 .251 .222 .260
2010 .264 .245 .219 .251
2011 .263 .236 .214 .247
2012 .263 .239 .217 .248
2013 .261 .234 .203 .241
2014 .265 .228 .211 .249


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 31% 0% 21%
2009 34% 8% 28%
2010 40% 14% 18%
2011 49% 25% 15%
2012 62% 33% 11%
2013 72% 43% 11%
2014 73% 54% 10%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

We sometimes find ourselves in danger of over-using the term `lefty-masher,` but Laird deserved that sobriquet in 2006, pounding southpaws for 34 hit in 85 at-bats for .400/.414/.600 rates. His performance against right-handers was a mirror image at .241/.291/.405. As this suggests, Laird is the kind of hitter who would greatly benefit from being a little less eager to chase bad pitches, because the overall offensive package isn`t going to carry him past the point of being a poor man`s Paul Lo Duca. He`s a good defender, and, with Barajas out of the way, he`ll finally get a shot to play regularly, but, as long as he`s so dependent on batting average and on seeing the right pitchers, he`s always going to be pushed towards a reserve role whenever someone flashier catches his manager`s eye.

2006

For a player who`s always been more about defense than offense, Laird had a heck of a season with the bat while watching "highlights" of Rod Barajas and Sandy Alomar Jr. doing his job in Texas. Alomar is finally out of the picture, so at the very least, Laird should be the backup backstop in 2006. Once Barajas turns back into a pumpkin, Laird will likely enjoy a reign just slightly longer, what with Taylor Teagarden waiting in the wings.

2005

Laird must think he's on some sort of reality show. He was the cognoscenti's sleeper pick for a breakout year by a rookie catcher. Then he hurt his ankle, and, upon his return, suffered a very bad and very lingering thumb injury that pretty much torpedoed his season. He's supposed to be ready for spring training, where he can rub his eyes in amazement that the Rangers would rather go into the season with Barajas and Alomar as their catching corps. It's one of those things that's beyond comprehension, like Clay Aiken or Scott Stapp having a singing career.


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