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Jeff Clement
Seattle Mariners [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 25
6' 1"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 SAN AA 70 7 6 1 2 10 7 8 0 0 -0.2 .288 .386 .525 .065 .258 .338 .500 .280 3.7 12-C -1 0.4
2006 TAC AAA 272 23 10 0 4 32 16 53 0 2 -3.0 .257 .321 .347 -.255 .240 .292 .328 .214 -10.4 36-C -1 -0.7
2007 TAC AAA 530 76 35 3 20 80 61 88 0 0 1.2 .275 .370 .497 -.005 .249 .340 .449 .272 16.5 74-C -6 2.0
2007 SEA MLB 19 4 1 0 2 3 3 3 0 0 0.0 .375 .474 .813 .800 .375 .474 .812 .397 4.3 0.4
2008 TAC AAA 211 40 17 0 14 43 35 30 0 0 -1.8 .335 .455 .676 .340 .303 .412 .590 .331 26.9 29-C -3 2.3
2008 SEA MLB 224 17 10 1 5 23 15 63 0 1 -1.1 .227 .295 .360 -.180 .232 .299 .379 .234 -2.3 33-C -7 -0.8


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:11 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 456 64 26 1 21 64 47 98 0 1 -1.5 .282 .366 .512 .195 .286 .370 .541 .306 36.9 108-C -12 4.4
75o 426 53 22 1 17 57 42 91 0 0 -1.3 .266 .349 .470 .096 .269 .353 .497 .290 24.7 101-C -12 3.2
60o 416 49 21 1 16 55 41 89 0 0 -1.3 .261 .344 .457 .064 .264 .347 .483 .284 20.9 99-C -12 2.9
50o 410 47 21 1 15 53 40 87 0 0 -1.3 .258 .341 .449 .045 .261 .344 .474 .281 18.8 98-C -12 2.6
40o 401 45 20 1 14 52 39 85 0 0 -1.2 .254 .336 .438 .018 .257 .340 .463 .276 16.0 96-C -12 2.4
25o 376 37 18 1 12 46 36 80 0 0 -1.1 .241 .323 .406 -.058 .244 .326 .429 .262 8.3 90-C -11 1.6
10o 347 30 15 1 9 41 32 73 0 0 -1.0 .228 .309 .371 -.140 .231 .312 .392 .247 1.0 84-C -11 0.8
Weighted Mean 426 50 22 1 16 56 42 91 0 0 -1.2 .257 .340 .448 .023 .261 .344 .473 .280 17.5 101-C -12 2.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

29%

72%

9%

11%

0.86

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 25) 426 50 22 1 16 56 42 91 0 0 -1.2 .257 .340 .448 .023 .261 .344 .473 .280 17.5 101-C -12 2.4
2010 (age 26) 436 52 23 1 16 58 43 90 0 0 -1.2 .259 .342 .450 .067 .266 .350 .481 .281 19.0 104-C -14 2.4
2011 (age 27) 428 50 21 1 16 58 43 90 0 0 -1.1 .258 .342 .445 .059 .264 .350 .476 .279 17.1 102-C -14 2.2
2012 (age 28) 416 50 21 1 16 59 44 86 0 0 -0.9 .259 .346 .455 .081 .266 .354 .487 .284 17.1 99-C -16 1.9
2013 (age 29) 378 43 19 1 14 52 41 78 0 0 -0.8 .257 .345 .447 .066 .263 .353 .478 .281 14.3 90-C -13 1.7
2014 (age 30) 367 42 17 1 15 50 39 74 0 0 -0.7 .262 .346 .457 .085 .269 .354 .488 .284 14.8 88-C -14 1.7
2015 (age 31) 365 40 18 1 14 50 39 72 0 0 -0.6 .260 .342 .453 .071 .266 .350 .484 .281 12.9 88-C -14 1.5

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .237 .320 .421
vs RHP .265 .351 .471
Split -.028 -.031 -.050
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 14.0 -12.0 2.4 $4,375,000 15.7 13.0
2010 14.8 -14.0 2.4 $4,675,000 15.7 14.8
2011 13.9 -14.0 2.2 $4,500,000 14.1 13.4
2012 15.6 -16.0 1.9 $4,350,000 12.9 13.2
2013 13.1 -13.0 1.7 $4,025,000 10.9 13.9
2014 13.7 -14.0 1.7 $4,475,000 11.6 14.4
2015 12.7 -14.0 1.5 $4,125,000 9.8 11.0
Peak 12.3 $19,600,000 80.9 82.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .290 .281 .262 .280
2010 .298 .277 .252 .281
2011 .294 .274 .254 .279
2012 .305 .272 .253 .284
2013 .296 .269 .245 .281
2014 .293 .275 .249 .284
2015 .296 .276 .251 .281


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 11% 0% 29%
2010 14% 4% 38%
2011 18% 8% 31%
2012 27% 7% 37%
2013 35% 10% 29%
2014 38% 16% 27%
2015 43% 23% 25%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

39

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Ed Herrmann 1972 37 11 Terry Kennedy 1982 27
2 Mo Vaughn 1993 35 12 Todd Helton 1999 27
3 Charles Johnson 1997 35 13 Derrek Lee 2001 26
4 Jim Pagliaroni 1963 33 14 Damon Berryhill 1989 26
5 Willie Aikens 1980 32 15 Mike Scioscia 1984 24
6 Trot Nixon 2000 31 16 Michael Cuddyer 2005 24
7 Tino Martinez 1993 30 17 Dave Duncan 1971 21
8 Ben Davis 2003 28 18 Joe Garagiola 1951 21
9 Ed Bailey 1957 28 19 Randy Bush 1984 21
10 Duke Sims 1967 27 20 Johnny Edwards 1964 21

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Clement absolutely slaughtered left-handed pitching in Tacoma last year (10 HR, .358 ISO), but scouts believe that he was beating up on soft-tossing Triple-A lefties, making that performance something he's unlikely to be able to repeat in the Show. This is reflected in his PECOTA projection-one improvement that has been made to PECOTA this year is a new sensitivity to platoon data, in this case making it aware of Clement's more pedestrian results against righties (.261/.348/.433) and thus producing a projection that might otherwise seem underwhelming given his composite 2007 statistics. That projection is still above average for a catcher, but while Clement's bat may be ready for the majors, his defense behind the plate remains a work in progress. It will be interesting to see if the Mariners go the on-the-job training route by making him Johjima's caddy in the varsity, shift him defensively to get his bat into the lineup, or send him back down to the PCL for further defensive seasoning.

2007

Clement wasn`t the same after undergoing knee and elbow surgery in May. It didn`t help that the Mariners inexplicably promoted him to Triple-A after the injury. With Johjima backstopping at the major league level, there should have been no pressure to rush the third-overall pick from the 2005 draft. The trouble Clement had at Tacoma he carried over to the Hawaiian Winter League, where the young catcher finished under the Mendoza line. He`ll have to work hard to reclaim the mantle of top Mariners prospect from Adam Jones.


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