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Edwin Bellorin
Colorado Rockies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 26
5' 9"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 VRO 1C 329 36 18 2 3 33 14 44 1 1 -5.1 .273 .311 .373 -.050 .225 .259 .318 .196 -17.9 80-C -6 0.6
2006 LVG 3A 350 32 13 1 7 49 14 59 1 2 -0.9 .234 .266 .346 -.293 .206 .235 .310 .186 -22.8 83-C -7 0.0
2007 CSP 3A 244 38 18 0 9 45 16 27 1 0 -2.6 .326 .369 .529 .151 .284 .328 .455 .270 12.0 56-C 8 3.2
2007 COL MJ 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 -1.305 .000 .000 .000 .000 -0.5 0.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:17 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 233 29 14 1 8 32 12 34 2 1 -0.5 .284 .322 .464 .013 .262 .304 .433 .250 5.1 58-C 1 2.0
75o 225 26 12 1 7 29 11 33 2 1 -0.5 .274 .312 .438 -.050 .252 .294 .409 .239 1.9 56-C 1 1.7
60o 214 22 11 1 6 26 10 32 2 1 -0.5 .261 .299 .407 -.125 .241 .282 .379 .225 -1.6 54-C 1 1.3
50o 210 20 10 1 5 25 10 31 2 1 -0.5 .256 .294 .394 -.154 .236 .277 .368 .219 -2.8 53-C 1 1.1
40o 205 19 10 1 5 24 9 31 1 1 -0.4 .251 .289 .381 -.186 .231 .272 .355 .212 -4.1 52-C 1 1.0
25o 196 16 9 1 4 21 9 30 1 1 -0.4 .242 .279 .357 -.243 .223 .263 .333 .200 -6.3 50-C 0 0.7
10o 169 10 6 1 2 15 7 26 1 1 -0.3 .217 .254 .295 -.387 .200 .239 .276 .164 -10.6 44-C 0 0.2
Weighted Mean 212 21 10 1 5 27 10 32 2 1 -0.5 .258 .296 .398 -.145 .238 .278 .371 .220 -1.0 53-C 1 1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

20%

39%

32%

25%

0.78

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 26) 212 21 10 1 5 27 10 32 2 1 -0.5 .258 .296 .398 -.145 .238 .278 .371 .220 -1.0 53-C 1 1.4
2009 (age 27) 213 21 10 1 5 27 11 31 2 1 -0.4 .262 .302 .395 -.134 .238 .280 .362 .222 -1.6 54-C 1 1.1
2010 (age 28) 238 26 13 1 6 31 12 33 2 1 -0.4 .270 .310 .412 -.092 .245 .288 .377 .230 0.0 59-C 1 1.2
2011 (age 29) 198 21 9 0 5 26 11 28 1 1 -0.4 .275 .318 .417 -.067 .250 .295 .382 .234 0.7 50-C 1 1.0
2012 (age 30) 211 22 10 1 5 27 12 30 1 1 -0.3 .266 .312 .405 -.102 .241 .289 .371 .228 -0.3 53-C 1 0.8
2013 (age 31) 166 15 7 0 4 21 9 23 1 1 -0.3 .265 .311 .390 -.124 .241 .288 .357 .223 -0.6 43-C -1 0.5
2014 (age 32) 174 15 7 0 4 21 10 23 1 0 -0.2 .256 .304 .378 -.158 .233 .282 .347 .218 -1.0 45-C 1 0.4

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .274 .316 .423
vs RHP .253 .287 .383
Split +.021 +.029 +.040
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 1.6 1.4 $1,525,000 -1.1 1.1
2009 0.0 1.1 1.1 $1,200,000 -1.6 1.6
2010 0.1 1.1 1.2 $1,375,000 0.2 3.0
2011 0.1 0.9 1.0 $1,450,000 0.8 3.3
2012 0.0 0.8 0.8 $1,125,000 -0.2 2.0
2013 0.0 0.5 0.5 $800,000 -1.4 0.8
2014 0.0 0.5 0.4 $750,000 -1.3 1.0
Peak 6.1 $4,325,000 0.0 11.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .239 .219 .200 .220
2009 .248 .231 .206 .222
2010 .251 .230 .213 .230
2011 .258 .240 .209 .234
2012 .262 .230 .196 .228
2013 .247 .228 .202 .223
2014 .239 .218 .201 .218


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 25% 0% 20%
2009 33% 12% 23%
2010 39% 21% 23%
2011 46% 25% 29%
2012 54% 35% 27%
2013 66% 45% 16%
2014 69% 55% 13%

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