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He's probably very handsome. Ryan Dent
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Second Base
Bats R
Age 19
6'
190 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 RSX 0R 42 7 1 2 1 2 5 5 4 3 0.1 .371 .463 .600 .577 .297 .366 .486 .274 7.5 0.1
2007 LOW 1A 46 5 1 0 0 3 1 13 4 1 0.6 .178 .196 .200 -.443 .156 .174 .178 .101 -13.9 10-2B 0 -0.3


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 9:07 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 600 76 35 3 7 53 43 139 26 10 1.5 .254 .311 .367 -.134 .247 .307 .375 .247 3.4 140-2B -3 3.3
75o 576 67 32 3 6 49 39 138 25 10 1.4 .245 .299 .350 -.182 .238 .296 .358 .237 -3.3 135-2B -3 2.6
60o 549 58 28 3 5 45 35 136 23 10 1.3 .234 .287 .332 -.236 .227 .284 .339 .225 -10.1 129-2B -3 1.8
50o 538 55 27 3 5 43 34 135 23 9 1.2 .230 .282 .325 -.256 .224 .279 .332 .221 -12.5 126-2B -3 1.5
40o 519 49 25 2 4 40 32 133 22 9 1.1 .223 .274 .312 -.290 .217 .271 .319 .213 -16.3 122-2B -3 1.1
25o 480 40 21 2 3 34 27 128 20 9 1.0 .209 .257 .288 -.359 .204 .255 .295 .197 -22.9 113-2B -4 0.3
10o 460 35 19 2 3 32 25 126 19 8 0.9 .203 .250 .277 -.391 .197 .247 .283 .189 -25.5 109-2B -4 0.0
Weighted Mean 515 45 23 2 4 38 30 136 21 9 1.0 .213 .262 .295 -.339 .207 .259 .302 .202 -21.4 121-2B -3 1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

0%

0%

0%

0%

1.00

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 19) 515 45 23 2 4 38 30 136 21 9 1.0 .213 .262 .295 -.339 .207 .259 .302 .202 -21.4 121-2B -3 1.1
2009 (age 20) 537 51 27 3 5 45 29 133 23 9 1.0 .222 .268 .319 -.293 .219 .269 .332 .213 -15.8 126-2B 0 1.7
2010 (age 21) 583 64 30 3 8 51 33 133 23 10 1.0 .233 .280 .346 -.229 .230 .282 .360 .226 -8.1 136-2B -2 2.2
2011 (age 22) 540 59 25 3 8 49 34 123 22 9 0.9 .237 .289 .349 -.208 .234 .290 .363 .231 -5.2 127-2B -4 2.1
2012 (age 23) 543 59 28 3 7 50 31 113 20 9 0.9 .241 .288 .352 -.203 .238 .290 .366 .230 -4.5 128-2B -4 1.8
2013 (age 24) 469 53 24 3 8 48 30 94 17 7 0.8 .253 .305 .378 -.131 .250 .307 .393 .246 2.2 111-2B -2 2.2
2014 (age 25) 439 48 23 3 6 43 28 88 16 7 0.5 .254 .307 .375 -.130 .250 .309 .391 .245 1.6 104-2B -3 1.9

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .229 .280 .323
vs RHP .209 .256 .285
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -1.1 2.3 1.1 $1,200,000 -22.4 0.0
2009 -0.7 2.4 1.7 $2,025,000 -13.7 0.6
2010 0.0 2.3 2.2 $2,925,000 -6.7 3.4
2011 0.1 1.9 2.1 $2,925,000 -5.5 3.6
2012 0.1 1.7 1.8 $2,675,000 -5.2 3.7
2013 0.6 1.6 2.2 $4,225,000 2.8 8.1
2014 0.4 1.4 1.9 $3,525,000 1.6 1.8
Peak 11.9 $11,825,000 2.5 22.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .237 .221 .197 .202
2009 .226 .205 .184 .213
2010 .235 .221 .202 .226
2011 .245 .221 .199 .231
2012 .242 .217 .202 .230
2013 .254 .237 .219 .246
2014 .256 .241 .228 .245


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 N/A 0% N/A
2009 N/A 0% N/A
2010 N/A 5% N/A
2011 N/A 6% N/A
2012 N/A 16% N/A
2013 N/A 23% N/A
2014 N/A 30% N/A

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