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He's probably very handsome. Jeffrey Corsaletti
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Left Field
Bats L
Age 25
6'
190 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 GRN 1B 282 49 17 2 4 26 32 38 9 4 -0.9 .357 .429 .490 .347 .284 .344 .385 .256 7.0 59-CF -5 1.7
2006 WIL 1C 556 69 32 1 11 60 97 85 11 5 0.0 .264 .400 .414 .158 .230 .345 .365 .254 -10.3 111-LF -20 2.7
2007 PME 2A 560 93 21 3 6 58 83 87 20 7 0.2 .266 .385 .364 .036 .238 .346 .333 .250 -15.4 64-LF -8 2.7


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 8:34 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 617 92 40 3 10 66 72 113 13 4 0.9 .279 .369 .423 .054 .271 .365 .432 .285 19.6 144-LF 2 4.8
75o 575 73 33 3 8 56 64 110 11 4 0.8 .259 .347 .383 -.049 .252 .343 .392 .266 4.3 135-LF 2 3.4
60o 550 64 29 2 7 51 60 108 11 4 0.7 .248 .335 .361 -.105 .241 .331 .369 .255 -3.3 129-LF 2 2.7
50o 539 60 28 2 6 48 58 107 10 4 0.7 .243 .329 .352 -.130 .237 .326 .359 .250 -6.4 127-LF 2 2.4
40o 522 55 26 2 5 45 55 106 10 4 0.6 .236 .321 .337 -.167 .229 .318 .344 .242 -10.8 123-LF 2 1.9
25o 497 47 23 2 4 40 51 103 9 4 0.6 .226 .309 .316 -.219 .220 .306 .323 .230 -16.5 117-LF 2 1.3
10o 460 38 18 2 3 33 45 99 8 4 0.5 .211 .293 .288 -.293 .206 .290 .294 .213 -23.4 109-LF 2 0.6
Weighted Mean 558 63 29 2 6 50 60 111 11 4 0.7 .244 .330 .353 -.127 .237 .326 .360 .250 -7.1 131-LF 2 2.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

19%

45%

25%

6%

0.88

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 558 63 29 2 6 50 60 111 11 4 0.7 .244 .330 .353 -.127 .237 .326 .360 .250 -7.1 131-LF 2 2.8
2009 (age 26) 508 56 26 2 6 46 55 96 9 4 0.5 .247 .333 .356 -.115 .244 .334 .370 .251 -3.4 120-LF 0 2.0
2010 (age 27) 552 64 30 2 7 53 60 109 11 4 0.4 .248 .335 .362 -.103 .245 .337 .377 .255 -1.7 130-LF -1 1.8
2011 (age 28) 481 51 25 2 6 44 50 92 8 4 0.3 .247 .330 .356 -.120 .244 .332 .371 .250 -2.7 114-LF 1 1.4
2012 (age 29) 508 59 25 2 7 51 58 92 8 4 0.2 .254 .344 .368 -.076 .251 .346 .383 .259 0.1 120-LF 0 1.2
2013 (age 30) 359 34 20 2 5 36 37 65 5 2 0.2 .250 .330 .373 -.095 .247 .332 .388 .255 -0.5 86-LF 1 0.9
2014 (age 31) 410 43 21 2 6 40 46 78 7 3 0.1 .259 .345 .377 -.060 .256 .346 .392 .262 0.6 98-LF 0 1.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .216 .301 .299
vs RHP .253 .345 .386
Split -.036 -.044 -.087
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.1 1.7 2.8 $3,425,000 -5.4 1.5
2009 0.9 1.1 2.0 $2,425,000 -2.8 1.0
2010 0.8 0.9 1.8 $2,200,000 -1.6 2.0
2011 0.6 0.8 1.4 $1,775,000 -1.8 1.9
2012 0.6 0.6 1.2 $1,600,000 0.2 1.8
2013 0.4 0.5 0.9 $1,350,000 0.2 1.4
2014 0.4 0.5 1.0 $1,625,000 0.8 1.9
Peak 10.0 $9,050,000 0.2 9.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .266 .250 .230 .250
2009 .261 .249 .230 .251
2010 .266 .253 .231 .255
2011 .261 .244 .224 .250
2012 .279 .253 .229 .259
2013 .270 .251 .224 .255
2014 .271 .251 .241 .262


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 6% 0% 19%
2009 28% 16% 13%
2010 43% 36% 15%
2011 52% 41% 14%
2012 67% 55% 16%
2013 76% 59% 13%
2014 78% 66% 11%

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